Can’t stump the Trump! Or so we’re told. Donald Trump’s political campaign thus far has been entertaining, comedic, energizing and a big middle finger right in the face of the political and news establishments. The Trump Train’s boiler is going to explode soon, and my guess is that it will be because the mainstream media and other candidates will stoke it with too much coal.
Trump’s disposition towards brashness and insolence is a hit with voters. The establishment politicians know this, and I think we’re going to see them attempt to goad Trump into staying at a ridiculously over-loaded state. Others will capitalize on this and use this to their advantage likening him to Sarah Palin, Alex Jones and Glenn Beck.
With any luck, the establishment won’t even need to go that far. Trump is not a politician, he’s a businessman. Trump doesn’t “know how to GOP” and in the end American conservative voters will fall back onto their favorite flavor of establishment brand conservatism and make a straight-party vote.
Last week I predicted that something would happen during last night’s debate by which Trump would begin to fall out of favor and Jeb Bush would begin to gain favor. Most of this prediction depends on the assumption that Trump does not have Presidential debate-level argumentation experience, and I think that’s exactly what we saw last night.
Without reading between the lines, just looking at the broad strokes, only the meat-and-potatoes, Jeb Bush’s performance was very good. He managed to make himself look like a presidential candidate. His speech, manner and dress were just what the public wanted to see. I’m thinking back to the debate right now, and the immediate impression I had was, “hey, Jeb isn’t that liberal, and he might do a fine job as a mainstream conservative.” But, that’s just the immediate impression. The only other thing I remember from the debate is that Ted Cruz and Rand Paul put on so much makeup that they had a twinkle in their eyes. What a couple of tarts.
And that’s how presidential debates are supposed to work. If Trump hasn’t already lost his support among far-right red-pilled conservatives then he will lose the rest of it very soon. The longer that Trump spends engaging the other candidates in their forums is the more that he will have to testify for-and-against his own positions. He will invariably end up compromising some of his strongest lightning-rod convictions, and this cannot be prevented.
It doesn’t matter that all of the candidates support a pathway to citizenship, amnesty of one kind or another and a pro-Israel position. Don’t fool yourself, Trump is at least as big of a warhawk as anyone else in D.C. American politics is sort of the opposite of baseball. In baseball, all the players are different but wear the same jersey. In American politics, there’s only one player, Israel, and it wears a different jersey each time at bat.
American conservative voters are like spoiled little children who become easily infatuated with the newest shiny bobble that should come their way. They will grab it, and hold it, and squeeze it, and love it until mommy comes out and says, “Now stop that, America! You’re going to hurt yourself with that shiny new thing! Here, play with Jeb Bush instead, he’s much safer!” There will be some crying, a couple of tantrums, but then Bush’s exceptionally well financed campaign team will teach America how to love Bush. Everyone in the whole world knows what America is, and according Israeli Prim Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, “America is a thing that you can move very easily.” And this exactly what I see happening.
My friends on Facebook were abuzz with video segments of Trump blasting the other candidates. The “trending” political items on Facebook didn’t have one mention of Trump. What about Twitter? Nope. Trump wasn’t trending there either. The national mainstream media is shitting their pants right now and desperately trying to snatch Trump from the hands of American conservative voters. They are panting hard for another Bush or Clinton to win this one. A friend pointed out to me that social media trending lists vary from one computer to the next based on each user’s tweets and posts, and I get that. But, something is afoul here. I didn’t even see Trump’s name in one single headline at Google News. I opened an incognito window to see if the headlines at Google News were different. And they were different. The first article on the list was about how Trump just ruined his chances at winning candidacy. That’s about what I expected.
But, the whole thing is a moot argument. The presidency is the least useful office in the entirety of congress, while conveniently being the most distracting. Electing the popular rebel candidate to office is the equivalent of throwing a watermelon into a chipper-shredder. Don’t fool yourself. Trump isn’t going to change anything. If he snubs all of the establishment on the way to D.C. he will get there and not have an iota of support. Granted, the president does nominate supreme court justices, has veto and executive power order, but in the end the president usually does just what his advisers tell him to do.
Will anything change if Trump somehow, in a ludicrous pipe dream, wins the election? Yes. Obama will be out of office, and Trump will be in office. That’s about all that will change.